MX23RW : Friday, November 8 03:36:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Jan 29, 2023 at 4am UK
AAMI Park
Adelaide United

Melbourne City
3 - 3
Adelaide United

Lam (12'), Leckie (52'), MacLaren (90+2' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-3)
Blackwood (1'), Kitto (17'), Goodwin (43')
Juande (66'), Yull (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 21 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-0 Macarthur
Friday, January 20 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Melbourne City 3-1 Adelaide United

With Jamie Maclaren well on his way to securing a fourth successive A-League Golden Boot, the lethal striker should fire Melbourne City to a high-scoring victory over Adelaide United, strengthening the club's title charge in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Adelaide United had a probability of 13.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for an Adelaide United win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawAdelaide United
68.12% (0.565 0.56) 18.37% (-0.125 -0.13) 13.51% (-0.437 -0.44)
Both teams to score 53.15% (-0.808 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.2% (-0.443 -0.44)38.8% (0.443 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.89% (-0.467 -0.47)61.11% (0.46899999999999 0.47)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58% (0.018999999999991 0.02)10.42% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.02% (0.043000000000006 0.04)33.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.33% (-0.913 -0.91)40.67% (0.916 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.74% (-0.832 -0.83)77.26% (0.834 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 68.11%
    Adelaide United 13.51%
    Draw 18.37%
Melbourne CityDrawAdelaide United
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.206 0.21)
3-0 @ 8.17% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 7.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.62% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.089 -0.09)
5-0 @ 2.09% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 68.11%
1-1 @ 8.62% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.37%
1-2 @ 3.88% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-1 @ 3.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.72% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 13.51%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Adelaide United

Melbourne City
94.4%
Draw
5.6%
Adelaide United
0.0%
18
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 5.05am
Melbourne City
2-1
Adelaide United
Tilio (74'), MacLaren (92')
Nabbout (17'), Leckie (34'), Tilio (105')
Clough (48')
Yengi (7'), Juande (80'), Oliveira (116')
May 18, 2022 10.05am
Feb 15, 2022 8.55am
Melbourne City
1-2
Adelaide United
MacLaren (11')
Reis (90+4')
Lopez (20'), Toure (85')
Oliveira (10'), Juande (17'), Mauk (42'), Barr (67')
Jan 15, 2022 8.45am
Adelaide United
2-2
Melbourne City
Blackwood (60'), Ibusuki (84')
Caletti (12'), Juande (43')
Nabbout (24'), MacLaren (66')
Jamieson (16'), Galloway (35'), Reis (58')
Reis (70')
Nov 27, 2021 8.45am
Adelaide United
2-2
Melbourne City
Mauk (78'), Halloran (90')
Lopez (58'), Cavallo (75')
MacLaren (28'), Nabbout (61')
Jamieson (36'), O'Neill (52'), Nabbout (72'), Metcalfe (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!