Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Adelaide United had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for an Adelaide United win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.