Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

Jan 29, 2023 at 4am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
3 - 3
Adelaide United

Lam (12'), Leckie (52'), MacLaren (90+2' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-3)

Blackwood (1'), Kitto (17'), Goodwin (43')
Juande (66'), Yull (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 21 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-0 Macarthur
Friday, January 20 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Melbourne City 3-1 Adelaide United

With Jamie Maclaren well on his way to securing a fourth successive A-League Golden Boot, the lethal striker should fire Melbourne City to a high-scoring victory over Adelaide United, strengthening the club's title charge in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Adelaide United had a probability of 13.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for an Adelaide United win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Adelaide United
68.12% ( 0.56)	18.37% ( -0.13)	13.51% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 53.15% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.2% (

-0.44)

38.8% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.89% (

-0.47)

61.11% (

0.47)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.58% (

0.02)

10.42% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.02% (

0.04)

33.98% (

-0.04)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.33% (

-0.91)

40.67% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.74% (

-0.83)

77.26% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 68.11%

Adelaide United 13.51%

Draw 18.37%

Melbourne City	Draw	Adelaide United
2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.51% Total : 68.11%	1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.37%	1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.63% Total : 13.51%