Wellington1 - 3Melbourne City
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, December 23 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
for
Tuesday, December 27 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
for
We said: Wellington Phoenix 0-1 Melbourne City
Melbourne City have often eased past the challenge of whoever has gone against them this season, but Monday's fixture is set to be far from straightforward for the current A-League leaders. However, we still fancy them to get the job done come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 19.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 0-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne City |
19.19% ( 0.11) | 20.91% ( 0.06) | 59.9% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.36% ( -0.13) | 39.63% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.02% ( -0.13) | 61.98% ( 0.13) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% ( 0.04) | 34.21% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.09% ( 0.04) | 70.9% ( -0.04) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( -0.09) | 12.87% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.18) | 39.27% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.19% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.78% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 59.9% |
