Australian A-League | Gameweek 9

Dec 27, 2022 at 6.30am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
1 - 0
Central Coast

MacLaren (39')
Talbot (49'), van der Venne (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tulio (12'), N'Kololo (53'), Kuol (79'), Ruhs (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, December 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 3-0 Newcastle Jets
Wednesday, December 21 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Melbourne City 2-2 Central Coast Mariners

Melbourne City and Central Coast Mariners have enjoyed a solid campaign so far and find themselves in the upper echelons of the table. While Montgomery's men will be looking to maintain their fine run, the City have been near impenetrable on home turf this season. We predict both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 17.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
61.72% ( 0.51)	20.49% ( -0.11)	17.79% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 56.08% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60% (

-0.18)

40% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.64% (

-0.18)

62.36% (

0.18)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.53% (

0.09)

12.47% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.57% (

0.19)

38.43% (

-0.19)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.07% (

-0.55)

35.93% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.29% (

-0.56)

72.71% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 61.72%

Central Coast Mariners 17.79%

Draw 20.49%

Melbourne City	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.69% Total : 61.72%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.49%	1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.57% Total : 17.79%