Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Jan 23, 2022 at 5.05am UK

Bluetongue Stadium, Gosford

Central Coast
1 - 3
Melbourne City

Urena (41')
Farrell (59')

FT(HT: 1-1)

MacLaren (18'), Nabbout (57'), Jenkinson (84')
Bos (16'), Stokes (45+2'), Metcalfe (55'), Berenguer (84')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 0-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
20.35%	21.29%	58.35%

Both teams to score 58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.33%

39.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.98%

62.01%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.94%

33.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.34%

69.65%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.65%

13.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.78%

40.22%

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 20.35%

Melbourne City 58.35%

Draw 21.29%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 5.44% 1-0 @ 4.88% 2-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.3% Total : 20.35%	1-1 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 5.48% 0-0 @ 4.41% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.29%	1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 8.95% 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-3 @ 6.65% 0-3 @ 6.01% 2-3 @ 3.68% 1-4 @ 3.35% 0-4 @ 3.03% 2-4 @ 1.85% 1-5 @ 1.35% 0-5 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.48% Total : 58.35%