Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
61.95% | 19.79% | 18.25% |
Both teams to score 59.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.17% | 35.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.09% | 57.91% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.85% | 11.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.4% | 35.59% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% | 32.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.51% | 69.49% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 8.83% 1-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 7.18% 3-0 @ 6.46% 3-2 @ 3.99% 4-1 @ 3.94% 4-0 @ 3.54% 4-2 @ 2.19% 5-1 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.56% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.72% Total : 61.95% | 1-1 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 5.45% 0-0 @ 3.67% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.79% | 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-1 @ 4.08% 0-2 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.09% Total : 18.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |