Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
May 9, 2021 at 7.05am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City3 - 2Brisbane Roar
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 60.71% | 19.98% | 19.32% |
| Both teams to score 60.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.05% | 34.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.06% | 56.94% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.79% | 11.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.26% | 35.74% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% | 31.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.33% | 67.67% |
| Score Analysis |
Melbourne City 60.71%
Brisbane Roar 19.32%
Draw 19.98%
| Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 8.41% 1-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 7.12% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-2 @ 4.13% 4-1 @ 3.9% 4-0 @ 3.36% 4-2 @ 2.26% 5-1 @ 1.71% 5-0 @ 1.47% 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.8% Total : 60.71% | 1-1 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 3.51% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.98% | 1-2 @ 5.18% 0-1 @ 4.08% 0-2 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.59% Total : 19.32% |
How you voted: Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar
Melbourne City
62.5%Draw
25.0%Brisbane Roar
12.5%8
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2020 8.05am
Mar 1, 2020 7.30am
Nov 17, 2019 5am
Gameweek 6
Brisbane Roar
4-3
Melbourne City
O'Donovan (50', 64' pen., 83' pen.), Amadi-Holloway (60')
McGing (33'), O'Donovan (52'), Wenzel-Halls (71'), O'Shea (85'), Mauk (88')
McGing (33'), O'Donovan (52'), Wenzel-Halls (71'), O'Shea (85'), Mauk (88')
Form Guide
