Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Apr 28, 2021 at 10.05am UK

Bluetongue Stadium, Gosford

Central Coast
0 - 4
Brisbane Roar

Stensness (29'), Tongyik (67')
Urena (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gillesphey (19'), Champness (56'), Parsons (89'), Kudo (90+3')
Akbari (44'), Brindell-South (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Brisbane Roar
36.76%	25.57%	37.67%

Both teams to score 55.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.75%

48.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.6%

70.4%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41%

25.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.53%

60.47%

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91%

25.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.22%

59.78%

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 36.76%

Brisbane Roar 37.67%

Draw 25.57%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Brisbane Roar
1-0 @ 8.75% 2-1 @ 8.25% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.76%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.14% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 0.98% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.75% Total : 37.67%