Wellington2 - 1Central Coast
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 38.03% | 24.22% | 37.76% |
| Both teams to score 60.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.08% | 41.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.68% | 64.32% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% | 22.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.62% | 55.38% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% | 22.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.42% | 55.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.76% |
