Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Western United had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
50.93% | 22.75% | 26.32% |
Both teams to score 60.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.3% | 39.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.95% | 62.05% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.24% | 15.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.12% | 44.88% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.95% | 28.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.3% | 63.7% |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.59% 1-0 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 5.91% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-1 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.69% Total : 50.93% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.42% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-1 @ 5.62% 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.64% Total : 26.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |