Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
40.45% | 24.35% | 35.2% |
Both teams to score 59.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.23% | 42.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.82% | 65.18% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.76% | 21.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.86% | 54.14% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.08% | 23.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.86% | 58.14% |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.72% 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-2 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-1 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |