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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Mar 24, 2021 at 8.05am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Melbourne Victory

Wellington
4 - 1
Victory

Hemed (11'), Ball (36'), Davila (62'), Lewis (68')
Fenton (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kamsoba (76')
Traore (65'), Kruse (70'), Butterfield (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne Victory
47.31%24.42%28.27%
Both teams to score 56.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13%45.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.81%68.18%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51%19.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.65%51.35%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17%29.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08%65.91%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 47.31%
    Melbourne Victory 28.27%
    Draw 24.41%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.51%
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 7.77%
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 47.31%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7.03%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 28.27%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2021 8.05am
Gameweek 8
Victory
2-0
Wellington
Gestede (45+3', 49')
Broxham (34'), Shotton (37'), Markovic (55'), Anderson (62')

Muratovic (18'), McGarry (25'), Fenton (51')
> Preview
Mar 15, 2020 5.20am
Gameweek 23
Wellington
3-0
Victory
Davila (3'), Hooper (21'), Ball (55')
Devlin (10'), Rufer (66'), Steinmann (78')

Kirdar (20'), Roux (57'), Nabbout (86')
Dec 14, 2019 6am
Gameweek 10
Victory
0-0
Wellington
Donachie (31'), Basha (34'), Dobras (48'), Nabbout (73'), Toivonen (76'), Broxham (79'), Poulsen (81')
Dobras (60')
Steinmann (32'), Sotirio (74'), Devlin (86')
Nov 10, 2019 5am
Gameweek 5
Victory
1-1
Wellington
Toivonen (66')
Broxham (45'), Athiu (69'), Roux (85')
Davila (5' pen.)
Taylor (20'), Ball (32'), Marinovic (81')
May 3, 2019 10.50am
Eliminators
Victory
3-1
Wellington
Niedermeier (42'), Barbarouses (53'), Toivonen (71')
Krishna (64')
Kopczynski (7'), Williams (41'), Burgess (56'), Rufer (77'), Sheridan (95'), Cacace (97')
Kopczynski (93')
rhs 2.0
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