Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Feb 21, 2021 at 5.05am UK
Docklands Stadium
Victory0 - 1Newcastle Jets
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 34.88% | 24.63% | 40.48% |
| Both teams to score 58.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% | 44.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% | 66.54% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% | 24.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.69% | 59.31% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% | 21.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.96% | 55.04% |
| Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory 34.88%
Newcastle Jets 40.48%
Draw 24.63%
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-1 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.48% |
How you voted: Victory vs Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
39.1%Draw
21.7%Newcastle Jets
39.1%23
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 20
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Victory
Mar 2, 2019 8.50am
Jan 12, 2019 8.50am
Nov 3, 2018 8.50am
Gameweek 3
Newcastle Jets
0-1
Victory
Form Guide
