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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Feb 21, 2021 at 5.05am UK
Docklands Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Victory
0 - 1
Newcastle Jets


Roux (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thurgate (72')
Boogaard (41'), Thurgate (56'), Millar (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawNewcastle Jets
34.88%24.63%40.48%
Both teams to score 58.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83%44.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45%66.54%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25%24.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69%59.31%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17%21.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96%55.04%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 34.88%
    Newcastle Jets 40.48%
    Draw 24.63%
Melbourne VictoryDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.02%
1-0 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 5.27%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.88%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-1 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 6.26%
1-3 @ 4.43%
0-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 3.1%
1-4 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 40.48%

How you voted: Victory vs Newcastle Jets

Melbourne Victory
39.1%
Draw
21.7%
Newcastle Jets
39.1%
23
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 20
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Victory
Toivonen (49')
Toivonen (60'), Lesiotis (90')
Jan 5, 2020 7.30am
Gameweek 13
Victory
4-0
Newcastle Jets
Kruse (9'), Basha (61'), Nabbout (64'), Millar (86' og.)

Burns (24')
Mar 2, 2019 8.50am
Jan 12, 2019 8.50am
Gameweek 13
Victory
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Antonis (48'), Troisi (84')
Valeri (80'), Antonis (88')
Sheppard (78')
Georgievski (53')
Nov 3, 2018 8.50am
Gameweek 3
Newcastle Jets
0-1
Victory

Hoffman (34'), Ugarkovic (51')
Antonis (71')
Barbarouses (7'), Antonis (54')
rhs 2.0
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FT
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34-35
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