Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
34.88% | 24.63% | 40.48% |
Both teams to score 58.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.83% | 44.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.45% | 66.54% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% | 24.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.69% | 59.31% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.17% | 21.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.96% | 55.04% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-1 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |