Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
45.26% | 23.37% | 31.37% |
Both teams to score 62.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.69% | 39.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.36% | 61.65% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.28% | 17.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.61% | 48.39% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% | 24.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.06% | 58.94% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.88% Total : 45.26% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.34% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-1 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |