Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
50.9% | 22.69% | 26.4% |
Both teams to score 60.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.66% | 39.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.32% | 61.68% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.36% | 15.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.35% | 44.64% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% | 27.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.62% | 63.38% |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 5.93% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.75% Total : 50.91% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 4.35% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-1 @ 5.56% 0-2 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |