Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Jan 24, 2021 at 7.10am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Wellington1 - 2Newcastle Jets
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 39.41% | 24.09% | 36.5% |
| Both teams to score 61.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.65% | 41.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.25% | 63.75% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% | 21.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.05% | 53.95% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% | 22.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.83% | 56.17% |
| Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix 39.41%
Newcastle Jets 36.5%
Draw 24.08%
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.73% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-1 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.5% |
How you voted: Wellington vs Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix
68.0%Draw
20.0%Newcastle Jets
12.0%25
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 24
Newcastle Jets
3-0
Wellington
Fitzgerald (45'), Ibini-Isei (76'), Hoffman (79')
Boogaard (22'), Topor-Stanley (42'), Koutroumbis (57')
Boogaard (22'), Topor-Stanley (42'), Koutroumbis (57')
DeVere (9')
Mar 30, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 23
Wellington
4-1
Newcastle Jets
Feb 7, 2019 8.50am
Gameweek 18
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Wellington
Oct 21, 2018 5am
Gameweek 1
Wellington
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Form Guide
