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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Jan 24, 2021 at 7.10am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Newcastle Jets

Wellington
1 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Davila (85' pen.)
Fenton (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yuel (8'), O'Donovan (51')
Thurgate (28'), Yuel (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawNewcastle Jets
39.41%24.09%36.5%
Both teams to score 61.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.65%41.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.25%63.75%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88%21.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05%53.95%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43%22.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83%56.17%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 39.41%
    Newcastle Jets 36.5%
    Draw 24.08%
Wellington PhoenixDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.58%
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 39.41%
1-1 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.77%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-1 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.5%

How you voted: Wellington vs Newcastle Jets

Wellington Phoenix
68.0%
Draw
20.0%
Newcastle Jets
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 24
Newcastle Jets
3-0
Wellington
Fitzgerald (45'), Ibini-Isei (76'), Hoffman (79')
Boogaard (22'), Topor-Stanley (42'), Koutroumbis (57')

DeVere (9')
Jan 24, 2020 6.15am
Gameweek 16
Wellington
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Sotirio (53'), Davila (69')
Taylor (73')
Arroyo (66')
Millar (61')
Mar 30, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 23
Wellington
4-1
Newcastle Jets
Williams (1', 60' pen., 65'), Singh (73')
Golec (23'), Burgess (55')
O'Donovan (62')
Georgievski (36'), Boogaard (57'), Cowburn (71'), Topor-Stanley (71')
Feb 7, 2019 8.50am
Gameweek 18
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Wellington
Vargas (33')
Hoffman (17'), Georgievski (19'), Vargas (22')
Williams (58')
Rufer (19'), Krishna (65'), Burgess (89'), Sail (90')
Oct 21, 2018 5am
Gameweek 1
Wellington
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Georgievski (32' og.), Krishna (89')
Fenton (54'), Singh (63'), Krishna (79'), Taylor (94')
Petratos (95')
Ugarkovic (24'), Sheppard (89')
rhs 2.0
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