Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Jan 2, 2021 at 8.10am UK
AAMI Park
Victory1 - 3Brisbane Roar
FT(HT: 1-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 35.36% | 25.39% | 39.26% |
| Both teams to score 56.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% | 47.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% | 69.75% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% | 26.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.89% | 61.11% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% | 23.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.86% | 58.14% |
| Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory 35.36%
Brisbane Roar 39.26%
Draw 25.38%
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.36% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.92% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.26% |
How you voted: Victory vs Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
85.0%Draw
0.0%Brisbane Roar
15.0%20
Form Guide
