Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.