Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.12%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.