Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
46.98% | 24.34% | 28.67% |
Both teams to score 57.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% | 45.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% | 67.63% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.61% | 19.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.81% | 51.19% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% | 29.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.8% | 65.2% |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.11% Total : 46.98% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-1 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.39% Total : 28.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |