Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Jan 3, 2021 at 7.05am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
2 - 0
Melbourne City

Juric (66'), Mauk (76')
Jakobsen (48'), Juric (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Metcalfe (19'), Jamieson (55')
Jamieson (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne City
30.03%	23.32%	46.65%

Both teams to score 61.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.25%

39.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.89%

62.11%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47%

25.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61%

60.39%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65%

17.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.27%

47.73%

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 30.03%

Melbourne City 46.65%

Draw 23.31%

Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 7.23% 1-0 @ 6.05% 2-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.03%	1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.31%	1-2 @ 9.28% 0-1 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 3.7% 1-4 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.62% Other @ 4% Total : 46.65%