Australian A-League | Gameweek 8

Feb 24, 2021 at 8.05am UK

AAMI Park

Victory
2 - 0
Wellington

Gestede (45+3', 49')
Broxham (34'), Shotton (37'), Markovic (55'), Anderson (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Muratovic (18'), McGarry (25'), Fenton (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
37.67%	24.51%	37.82%

Both teams to score 59.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.68%

43.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.28%

65.72%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15%

22.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.41%

56.59%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.23%

22.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.53%

56.48%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 37.67%

Wellington Phoenix 37.82%

Draw 24.5%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.67% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.67%	1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5%	1-2 @ 8.41% 0-1 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.82%