Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
43.14% | 24.15% | 32.7% |
Both teams to score 59.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.49% | 42.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.08% | 64.91% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.1% | 19.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.98% | 52.02% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% | 25.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.01% | 59.98% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.01% 1-0 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.04% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-1 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |