Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
40.98% | 23.99% | 35.03% |
Both teams to score 61.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.91% | 41.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.51% | 63.49% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.73% | 20.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.38% | 52.62% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.76% | 23.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.85% | 57.15% |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-2 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.97% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-1 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 5.02% 1-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |