Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

Mar 27, 2021 at 10.20am UK

HBF Park

Perth Glory
2 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Bramwell (17'), Lachman (24')
Aspropotamitis (6'), Malik (50'), Reddy (73'), Keogh (90+1')
Aspropotamitis (35')

FT(HT: 2-0)

O'Donovan (59')
Prso (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Newcastle Jets
36.92%	24.71%	38.36%

Both teams to score 58.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67%

44.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3%

66.7%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3%

23.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.18%

57.82%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05%

22.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.28%

56.72%

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 36.92%

Newcastle Jets 38.36%

Draw 24.71%

Perth Glory	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.3% 1-0 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.92%	1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.48% 0-1 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 4.16% 2-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.36%