Western United and Wellington Phoenix square off on Thursday with just two points separating the clubs in the A-League standings.
While the home side are ahead of their next opponents with two games in hand, the visitors have recorded two successive victories.
Match preview
With every team in the A-League struggling for consistency this season, just 10 points come between leaders Melbourne City and ninth-placed Wellington Phoenix.
Such a scenario means that games such as this one, between teams at the bottom end of that group of clubs, remains relevant further up the table.
Possessing matches in hand on all but one of the teams in the top seven, Western United could move as high as fourth if they prevail in those fixtures.
Although Phoenix have played two games more than their next opponents, they will move to within seven points of the frontrunners with victory on Thursday.
Western United edged out previous leaders Central Coast Mariners on April 17 to extend their recent record to four wins from six matches.
Phoenix prevailed in the reverse fixture between these clubs six days earlier before backing that result up with success over Perth Glory.
United boss Mark Rudan has guided his side to three successive home victories, a period lasting since March 14.
While Phoenix have competed in just three away fixtures since the end of February, they have been able to claim six points from that triple-header.
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Team News
On the back of a strong performance against the Mariners, Rudan may opt against making any changes to his United XI.
Despite extending his wait for a goal to 13 matches, veteran Alessandro Diamanti could keep his place in the final third.
Phoenix manager Ufuk Talay may take a similar approach when deciding on his starting lineup.
Although there will be just a four-day turnaround after the triumph in Perth, Talay could prefer to stick with the players which featured for the first 89 minutes of that fixture.
Nevertheless, Joshua Laws, Alex Rufer and James McGarry are all candidates to come into the team having featured regularly this season.
Western United possible starting lineup:
Scott; Imai, Durante, Hamill; Pierias, Sanchez, Uskok, Pain; Diamanti, Berisha, Guarrotxena
Wellington Phoenix possible starting lineup:
Sail; Fenton, Taylor, Payne, Sutton; Davila, Devlin, Lewis, Ball; Sotirio, Waine
We say: Western United 1-1 Wellington Phoenix
Still in relatively close proximity to the top teams in the division, we expect both clubs to push hard for maximum points on Thursday.
Nevertheless, a hard-fought battle may end in a share of the spoils, a result which would not benefit either side at this stage of the campaign.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
