Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Dec 8, 2021 at 8.45am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
1 - 0
Perth Glory

Atkinson (88')
Jamieson (52'), Tilio (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aspropotamitis (8'), Lachman (38'), Burke-Gilroy (51'), Fornaroli (52')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Perth Glory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Perth Glory
62.37%	20.16%	17.46%

Both teams to score 56.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.98%

39.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.65%

61.35%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.01%

11.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.58%

37.42%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.29%

35.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.52%

72.48%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 62.37%

Perth Glory 17.46%

Draw 20.16%

Melbourne City	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 7.01% 3-0 @ 6.81% 4-1 @ 3.72% 4-0 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.58% 5-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.95% Total : 62.37%	1-1 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 5.11% 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.16%	1-2 @ 4.82% 0-1 @ 4.41% 0-2 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.56% Total : 17.46%