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Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Jun 10, 2021 at 10.05am UK
AAMI Park
Newcastle Jets

Melbourne City
1 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Colakovski (9')
O'Neill (37'), Mills (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Goodwin (23'), Stamatelopoulos (89')
O'Doherty (13')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Newcastle Jets.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 13.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawNewcastle Jets
67.99%18.13%13.88%
Both teams to score 55.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.27%36.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.11%58.89%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.11%9.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.24%32.75%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2%38.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.47%75.53%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 67.98%
    Newcastle Jets 13.88%
    Draw 18.13%
Melbourne CityDrawNewcastle Jets
2-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 8.87%
3-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 7.5%
4-0 @ 4.59%
4-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 3.55%
5-0 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 2.06%
5-1 @ 2.01%
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 67.98%
1-1 @ 8.4%
2-2 @ 4.6%
0-0 @ 3.83%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.13%
1-2 @ 3.98%
0-1 @ 3.63%
0-2 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.45%
1-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 13.88%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets

Melbourne City
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Newcastle Jets
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2021 10.05am
Feb 7, 2021 5.05am
Mar 23, 2020 8.30am
Jan 18, 2020 8.30am
Dec 15, 2019 7.30am
Gameweek 10
Newcastle Jets
0-4
Melbourne City

Jackson (42')
Luna (3', 28'), Cabrera (47'), MacLaren (59')
Genreau (23'), Good (86'), Glover (92'), Atkinson (92')
rhs 2.0
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