Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
30.89% | 23.83% | 45.28% |
Both teams to score 60.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.27% | 41.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.86% | 64.13% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.03% | 25.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.02% | 60.98% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% | 18.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.99% | 50.01% |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 7.4% 1-0 @ 6.54% 2-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.89% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-1 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.83% 1-3 @ 5.15% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 3.47% 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.45% Total : 45.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |