Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
38.4% | 24.3% | 37.3% |
Both teams to score 60.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.66% | 42.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.25% | 64.75% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% | 22.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% | 55.39% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% | 22.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.78% | 56.22% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 8.47% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.4% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-1 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |