Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
50.1% | 23.17% | 26.73% |
Both teams to score 59.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.67% | 41.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.27% | 63.73% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.35% | 16.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.5% | 46.5% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.4% | 28.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.6% | 64.4% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.1% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-1 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.5% Total : 26.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |