Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 17, 2022 at 6am UK
Central Coast Stadium
We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Sydney FC
Both sides boast similar attacking numbers heading into this one, so it would be a surprise if either of them came away without conceding. However, Central Coast Mariners are just about more solid at the back, and we can see them narrowly coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.32% . A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.77%) . The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.
Result Central Coast Mariners Draw Sydney FC 33.75% ( 1.27) 22.92% ( -0.04) 43.32% ( -1.23)
Both teams to score 64.83% ( 0.68)
63.81% ( 0.68) 36.2% ( -0.68)
41.69% ( 0.74) 58.31% ( -0.74)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
78.35% ( 1.02) 21.65% ( -1.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.22% ( 1.54) 54.78% ( -1.54)
82.75% ( -0.21) 17.25% ( 0.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 52.43% ( -0.38) 47.57% ( 0.38)
Central Coast Mariners 33.75%
Sydney FC 43.32%
Draw 22.92%
Central Coast Mariners Draw Sydney FC 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.57% Total : 33.75% 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.92% 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) Other @ 4.18% Total : 43.32%
How you voted: Central Coast vs Sydney FC
Central Coast Mariners
Draw
Sydney FC
Central Coast Mariners
21.1%
19
rhs 2.0
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