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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 17, 2022 at 6am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Sydney FC

Central Coast
2 - 1
Sydney FC

Tulio (36'), Hall (39')
Farrell (43'), Silvera (90+2'), Vukovic (90'), Steele (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Retre (11')
Donachie (90+4'), Donachie (90+4'), Brattan (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, December 11 at 4am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 2-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, December 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Sydney FC

 Both sides boast similar attacking numbers heading into this one, so it would be a surprise if either of them came away without conceding. However, Central Coast Mariners are just about more solid at the back, and we can see them narrowly coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawSydney FC
33.75% (1.274 1.27) 22.92% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 43.32% (-1.232 -1.23)
Both teams to score 64.83% (0.678 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.81% (0.68 0.68)36.2% (-0.679 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.69% (0.742 0.74)58.31% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (1.019 1.02)21.65% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (1.535 1.54)54.78% (-1.536 -1.54)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (-0.214 -0.21)17.25% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.43% (-0.379 -0.38)47.57% (0.38 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 33.75%
    Sydney FC 43.32%
    Draw 22.92%
Central Coast MarinersDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.156 0.16)
1-0 @ 5.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.37% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.195 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.117 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 33.75%
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.75% (0.089 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 2.02% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.272 -0.27)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.281 -0.28)
1-3 @ 5.17% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.96% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 43.32%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Sydney FC

Central Coast Mariners
21.1%
Draw
47.4%
Sydney FC
31.6%
19
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 10.45am
Central Coast
0-5
Sydney FC

Miller (56')
Le Fondre (28', 58', 59'), Caceres (53'), Bobo (90+4')
Buhagiar (49')
Jan 30, 2022 5.05am
Sydney FC
3-2
Central Coast
Caceres (45+2' pen., 79'), Bobo (71')
Amini (9'), Retre (65')
Bozanic (53'), Cummings (57')
Urena (15'), Cummings (29'), Farrell (45+2')
Dec 12, 2021 7.20am
Central Coast
2-0
Sydney FC
Urena (14'), Caceres (16' og.)
Roux (80')

Burgess (45'), Yazbek (68')
Apr 24, 2021 8.05am
Central Coast
2-2
Sydney FC
Urena (6'), Simon (41')
Ninkovic (45+2'), Buhagiar (83')
Jan 22, 2021 8.05am
Sydney FC
0-2
Central Coast

Retre (36')
Warland (53' og.), Kuol (74')
Bouman (43'), Simon (45+1')
rhs 2.0
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