MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 02:03:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Oct 30, 2022 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne City
2 - 2
Wellington

MacLaren (16' pen.), Tilio (34')
Gomulka (40'), O'Neill (41'), Lam (63'), Talbot (77')
Lam (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sutton (79'), Barbarouses (90')
Payne (15'), Pennington (50'), Elliot (83')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 0-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, October 22 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-1 Wellington
Saturday, October 22 at 7am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
66.15% (-1.359 -1.36) 19.12% (0.583 0.58) 14.74% (0.773 0.77)
Both teams to score 53.87% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.48% (-1.014 -1.01)39.52% (1.015 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.14% (-1.066 -1.07)61.86% (1.065 1.07)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.88% (-0.634 -0.63)11.12% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.45% (-1.409 -1.41)35.55% (1.408 1.41)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.61% (0.43 0.43)39.39% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.91% (0.399 0.4)76.09% (-0.401 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 66.14%
    Wellington Phoenix 14.74%
    Draw 19.12%
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
2-0 @ 10.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.203 0.2)
3-0 @ 7.74% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-0 @ 4.25% (-0.252 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 66.14%
1-1 @ 8.96% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.204 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.12%
1-2 @ 4.18% (0.183 0.18)
0-1 @ 4.08% (0.235 0.24)
0-2 @ 1.9% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 14.74%

Head to Head
May 9, 2022 10.05am
Melbourne City
2-1
Wellington
Sutton (3' og.), MacLaren (10')
Nabbout (30'), Tilio (54'), MacLaren (56'), Jenkinson (83')
Waine (54')
Piscopo (81'), Waine (90+2')
Apr 2, 2022 6.35am
Wellington
0-6
Melbourne City

Pennington (87'), Ball (90')
Surman (17' og.), Leckie (50'), Nabbout (59'), Good (68'), Tilio (76', 81')
May 16, 2021 7.05am
Melbourne City
2-2
Wellington
Tsubaki (58'), MacLaren (81')
O'Neill (90')
Hemed (37' pen., 88')
Lewis (79'), Hemed (89'), McGarry (90')
Apr 5, 2021 10.10am
Wellington
2-3
Melbourne City
Hemed (39'), Davila (56')
Fenton (58'), Laws (62'), Devlin (88')
Good (17'), MacLaren (45'), Tilio (83')
Berenguer (55')
Feb 15, 2020 6am
Wellington
1-0
Melbourne City
Ball (58')
Davila (43'), Hooper (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!