Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2022 at 7am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Newcastle Jets3 - 1Wellington
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-1 Perth Glory
Saturday, October 15 at 7am in Australian A-League
Saturday, October 15 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 2-2 Central Coast
Sunday, October 16 at 3am in Australian A-League
Sunday, October 16 at 3am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
53.37% ( 1.06) | 22.78% ( -0.37) | 23.85% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.79% ( 0.95) | 42.21% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.38% ( 0.95) | 64.61% ( -0.95) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( 0.71) | 15.81% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.03% ( 1.3) | 44.97% ( -1.3) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% ( -0.06) | 31.34% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.3% ( -0.07) | 67.7% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets 53.37%
Wellington Phoenix 23.85%
Draw 22.77%
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.55% Total : 53.37% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.75% Total : 23.85% |
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 8.45am
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Wellington
Boumal (51', 63'), Mikeltadze (67'), Babalj (83')
Al-Taay (35'), Mikeltadze (77')
Al-Taay (35'), Mikeltadze (77')
Laws (4'), Elliot (74')
Dec 10, 2021 8.45am
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Wellington
Mikeltadze (32', 52'), Murnane (69'), Penha (80')
Thurgate (45')
Thurgate (45')
Feb 28, 2021 7.10am
Form Guide
