

Central Coast2 - 0Newcastle Jets
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 15 at 7.05am in Australian A-League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
44.07% | 24.41% | 31.53% |
Both teams to score 58.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.86% | 44.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.48% | 66.52% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.84% | 20.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.55% | 52.45% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% | 26.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.98% | 62.02% |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-1 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.53% |
Penha (32')
N'Kololo (21'), Farrell (49'), Birighitti (90+3')