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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 17, 2022 at 4.05am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Central Coast Mariners

Wellington
0 - 4
Central Coast


Ball (34'), McGarry (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
N'Kololo (25'), Cummings (62'), Moresche (65'), Hatch (90+6')
Nisbet (32'), N'Kololo (77')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
30.45%23.29%46.25%
Both teams to score 61.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58%39.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24%61.76%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89%25.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19%59.81%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.63%17.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.22%47.78%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 30.45%
    Central Coast Mariners 46.25%
    Draw 23.29%
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.29%
1-0 @ 6.03%
2-0 @ 4.17%
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 30.45%
1-1 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 6.38%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 9.23%
0-1 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 6.68%
1-3 @ 5.39%
0-3 @ 3.9%
2-3 @ 3.72%
1-4 @ 2.36%
0-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.63%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 46.25%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 10.05am
Central Coast
5-0
Wellington
Urena (8' pen.), N'Kololo (24'), Cummings (55' pen.), Kuol (68'), Hatch (90+3')

Fenton (89'), Wootton (90+1')
Nov 27, 2021 6.05am
Feb 14, 2021 5.05am
Jan 31, 2021 5.05am
Mar 8, 2020 5am
Central Coast
1-3
Wellington
Jair (89')
Eun-seon (83')
Cacace (18'), Hooper (30'), Sotirio (78')
Steinmann (82'), Cacace (90')
rhs 2.0
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