

Central Coast4 - 2Macarthur
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 15 at 7.05am in Australian A-League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
53.83% | 22.93% | 23.24% |
Both teams to score 56.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.48% | 43.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.08% | 65.92% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.88% | 16.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.46% | 45.54% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% | 32.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.89% | 69.11% |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.81% 1-0 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 5.97% 3-0 @ 5.32% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.38% Total : 53.83% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.5% 0-0 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.03% 0-1 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.48% Total : 23.24% |
Tongyik (15'), Roux (31'), Steele (61'), Farrell (83')