

Wellington2 - 1Perth Glory
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Wednesday, May 4 at 12.05pm in Australian A-League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Perth Glory |
45.65% | 25.25% | 29.1% |
Both teams to score 54.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51% | 49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.92% | 71.08% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.53% | 21.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.49% | 54.51% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.17% | 30.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.89% | 67.11% |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Perth Glory |
1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.79% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.99% Total : 29.1% |