

Brisbane Roar2 - 1Wellington
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
54.27% | 23.72% | 22% |
Both teams to score 52.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.66% | 48.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.52% | 70.48% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% | 17.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.64% | 48.36% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.61% | 36.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.83% | 73.17% |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 9.66% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 5.57% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.27% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.8% Total : 22% |
Steinmann (12')