Australian A-League | Gameweek 18

Mar 12, 2022 at 6.05am UK

Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Brisbane Roar
2 - 1
Wellington

Akbari (7'), Hore (76')
Lescano (25'), (26'), Daley (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hooper (72')
Payne (31'), Rufer (36'), Ball (90+4')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Perth Glory	4	1	4
10	Wellington Phoenix	5	-6	4
11	Adelaide United	5	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
54.27%	23.72%	22%

Both teams to score 52.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.66%

48.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.52%

70.48%

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29%

17.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.64%

48.36%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.61%

36.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.83%

73.17%

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 54.27%

Wellington Phoenix 22%

Draw 23.72%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 9.66% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 5.57% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.27%	1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.8% Total : 22%