Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle Jets in this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
41.18% | 24.96% | 33.86% |
Both teams to score 57.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.11% | 45.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.8% | 68.2% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% | 22.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.34% | 55.67% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.84% | 26.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.76% | 61.24% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-1 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |