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Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Jan 2, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Coopers Stadium
Perth Glory

Adelaide United
2 - 0
Perth Glory

Barr (40'), Halloran (72')
Juande (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beevers (18'), Jelacic (39'), Lachman (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Tuesday, December 27 at 9.15am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-1 Wellington
Friday, December 23 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

We said: Adelaide United 2-0 Perth Glory

Perth Glory have found goals hard to come by of late, registering just seven across their opening eight games. We can see the trend continuing in Monday's clash with Adelaide United cruising to a relatively straightforward victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Adelaide United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Adelaide United.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawPerth Glory
61.15% (-0.717 -0.72) 21.93% (0.355 0.36) 16.92% (0.361 0.36)
Both teams to score 49.52% (-0.368 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (-0.884 -0.88)47.82% (0.88200000000001 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99% (-0.819 -0.82)70% (0.816 0.82)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.85% (-0.524 -0.52)15.15% (0.522 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.26% (-0.993 -0.99)43.74% (0.992 0.99)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)41.63% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88% (-0.067 -0.07)78.11% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 61.15%
    Perth Glory 16.92%
    Draw 21.93%
Adelaide UnitedDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 11.9% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.07% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.33% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 61.15%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.228 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 21.93%
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.189 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 16.92%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Perth Glory

Adelaide United
71.9%
Draw
6.3%
Perth Glory
21.9%
32
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 4am
Adelaide United
2-1
Perth Glory
Goodwin (18'), Ibusuki (22')
Warland (26')
Colli (32')
Apr 24, 2022 8.05am
Adelaide United
2-0
Perth Glory
Oliveira (24'), Irankunda (90+4')
Brook (45')
Mar 6, 2022 8.05am
Perth Glory
1-2
Adelaide United
Fornaroli (90' pen.)
Fornaroli (28')
Ibusuki (45+1'), Toure (59')
Barr (28'), Tratt (54'), Ibusuki (69')
Nov 20, 2021 11.05am
Perth Glory
1-1
Adelaide United
Fornaroli (40')
Stynes (79'), Ota (90+5')
Yengi (22')
Sanchez (79')
May 19, 2021 12.20pm
rhs 2.0
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