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Adelaide United
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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 18, 2022 at 6am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Perth Glory

Macarthur
1 - 0
Perth Glory

Arabuli (71')
Uskok (14'), Baccus (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zadkovich (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macarthur 0-1 Victory
Sunday, December 11 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-1 Western Utd
Saturday, December 10 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

We said: Macarthur 2-1 Perth Glory

With both clubs plagued by inconsistency this campaign, this is a difficult match to call. While Glory got back to winning ways last time out, it came against opponents who are now bottom of the table, and we feel that the extra quality is more likely to come from the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Macarthur in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Macarthur.

Result
MacarthurDrawPerth Glory
50.21% (-0.939 -0.94) 24.25% (0.386 0.39) 25.54% (0.555 0.56)
Both teams to score 54.73% (-0.7 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.86% (-1.19 -1.19)47.14% (1.191 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.62% (-1.116 -1.12)69.38% (1.117 1.12)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (-0.81800000000001 -0.82)18.81% (0.819 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.76% (-1.385 -1.39)50.24% (1.387 1.39)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (-0.181 -0.18)32.6% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86% (-0.205 -0.21)69.14% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 50.2%
    Perth Glory 25.54%
    Draw 24.25%
MacarthurDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.304 0.3)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 25.54%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Perth Glory

Macarthur
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Perth Glory
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 9.20am
Macarthur
4-2
Perth Glory
Davila (38' pen.), Noone (54' pen.), Toure (82'), Najjar (90+6')
Mutch (24'), M'Mombwa (44'), McGing (65')
M'Mombwa (66')
Colli (1'), Ostler (18')
Clisby (46'), Aspropotamitis (53'), Colli (56')
Feb 23, 2022 8.55am
May 23, 2021 11.15am
Perth Glory
1-1
Macarthur
Castro (13' pen.)
Malik (69'), D'Agostino (84')
Derbyshire (30')
M'Mombwa (3'), Puyo (34'), Rose (65')
May 1, 2021 6.05am
Apr 2, 2021 8.05am
rhs 2.0
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1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS


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