Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur |
47.86% | 22.14% | 30% |
Both teams to score 65.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.94% | 34.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.07% | 55.94% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.25% | 14.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.02% | 42.99% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.28% | 22.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.6% | 56.4% |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 5.8% 3-2 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.92% 4-1 @ 2.78% 4-2 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 1.06% 4-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.4% Total : 47.86% | 1-1 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 6.74% 0-0 @ 3.35% 3-3 @ 2.12% Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-1 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.17% Total : 30% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |