Australian A-League | Gameweek 8

Apr 3, 2022 at 9.20am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
4 - 2
Perth Glory

Davila (38' pen.), Noone (54' pen.), Toure (82'), Najjar (90+6')
Mutch (24'), M'Mombwa (44'), McGing (65')
M'Mombwa (66')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Colli (1'), Ostler (18')
Clisby (46'), Aspropotamitis (53'), Colli (56')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Perth Glory
40.66%	24.95%	34.4%

Both teams to score 57.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.27%

45.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.95%

68.05%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58%

22.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.06%

55.94%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.24%

25.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.29%

60.71%

Score Analysis

Macarthur 40.66%

Perth Glory 34.4%

Draw 24.95%

Macarthur	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.66%	1-1 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95%	1-2 @ 7.94% 0-1 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.4%