Melbourne City4 - 0Western Utd
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, January 2 at 2am in Australian A-League
for
Friday, December 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
for
We said: Melbourne City 3-1 Western United
Presiding regular-season champions Melbourne City head into the match on the back of seven victories from nine league matches, which brings us to our prediction that Rado Vidosic's side will emerge victorious in an end-to-end game at AAMI Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 66.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Western United had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
66.72% ( -0.36) | 19.31% ( 0.15) | 13.96% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 51.07% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.85% ( -0.18) | 42.15% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( -0.18) | 64.55% ( 0.18) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.27% ( -0.15) | 11.73% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.14% ( -0.32) | 36.86% ( 0.32) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.86% ( 0.2) | 42.14% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.44% ( 0.17) | 78.56% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
| 2-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.63% Total : 66.72% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.31% | 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.53% Total : 13.96% |
