Australian A-League | Gameweek 10

Dec 30, 2022 at 8.45am UK

Whitten Oval

Western Utd
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Prijovic (78')
Diamanti (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Armiento (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Victory
Monday, December 26 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Western Sydney
Friday, December 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Western United 2-1 Brisbane Roar

Given Western United's dominance of this fixture of late, the hosts are favourites to come away with all three points here, and we are tipping them to live up to expectations and get the job done at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Western United	Draw	Brisbane Roar
31.6% ( 0.1)	26% ( -0.03)	42.4% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.95% (

0.13)

51.05% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.09% (

0.12)

72.91% (

-0.12)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.87% (

0.14)

30.13% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.72% (

0.16)

66.27% (

-0.16)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.11% (

0.02)

23.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.91% (

0.03)

58.09% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Western United 31.6%

Brisbane Roar 42.4%

Draw 25.99%

Western United	Draw	Brisbane Roar
1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 31.6%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.22% 0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.4%