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Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 23, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Brisbane Roar
1 - 1
Western Sydney

Armiento (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bozanic (18')
Cleur (61'), Nieuwenhof (77'), Krpic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Brisbane Roar
Friday, December 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Western Sydney
Sunday, December 18 at 4am in Australian A-League

We said: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers

A closely-fought contest is set to take place on Friday between two sides who have not been involved in many high-scoring matches so far this season. Although Western Sydney Wanderers currently sit five places higher than Brisbane, we can see the Roar securing at least a point on home soil to extend their unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
39.26% (-0.241 -0.24) 24.7% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 36.04% (0.173 0.17)
Both teams to score 58.76% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (-0.308 -0.31)44.33% (0.312 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (-0.297 -0.3)66.71% (0.303 0.3)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (-0.255 -0.25)22.5% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)56.06% (0.386 0.39)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)24.18% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)58.51% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 39.26%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 36.04%
    Draw 24.7%
Brisbane RoarDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 39.26%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.093000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 36.04%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Western Sydney

Brisbane Roar
44.1%
Draw
29.4%
Western Sydney Wanderers
26.5%
34
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 7am
Apr 9, 2022 8.05am
Western Sydney
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Hingert (41' og.)
Mrcela (21')
Margush (89')
O'Shea (90+2' pen.)
Aldred (28')
Aldred (69')
Jan 29, 2022 8.45am
Brisbane Roar
3-0
Western Sydney
Mileusnic (27', 65'), Akbari (74')
O'Shea (31'), Brown (37')
May 30, 2021 7.05am
Apr 16, 2021 10.05am
Western Sydney
1-2
Brisbane Roar
Kamau (23')
Gordon (63')
Brindell-South (18'), Danzaki (45+2')
Brindell-South (11'), Daley (81'), Brown (89')
rhs 2.0
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