Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Jan 15, 2023 at 6am UK

Whitten Oval

Western Utd
1 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Wales (13')
Tratt (30'), Lacroix (34')
Tratt (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stynes (17')
Ingham (2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 4-0 Western Utd
Saturday, January 7 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, January 8 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Western United 1-0 Newcastle Jets

The visitors might head into this match slightly higher in the league table, but there is very little to split these two teams so far. This should prove to be a closely fought game between the two, but it is one that Western United could just edge due to the lack of fire power from the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Western United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
48.34% ( 0.57)	24.2% ( -0.3)	27.46% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.52% (

1.11)

45.47% (

-1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.19% (

1.05)

67.8% (

-1.06)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09% (

0.67)

18.91% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.6% (

1.11)

50.4% (

-1.11)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.77% (

0.37)

30.22% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61% (

0.45)

66.38% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Western United 48.34%

Newcastle Jets 27.46%

Draw 24.2%

Western United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.34%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.46%