

Western Utd2 - 1Newcastle Jets
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, May 17 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 21 at 8.15am in Australian A-League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
41.5% | 25.92% | 32.58% |
Both teams to score 53.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.56% | 50.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% | 72.37% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% | 24.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.65% | 58.35% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.83% | 29.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.89% | 65.11% |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.5% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.58% |