Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 12, 2023 at 6am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Macarthur2 - 1Wellington
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 6-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 4 at 6am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 4 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 3-1 Wellington
Friday, February 3 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, February 3 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
25
We said: Macarthur 1-1 Wellington Phoenix
While Wellington Phoenix head into this match higher up in the league table, that does not necessarily mean that they will take all three points from the match. Their recent defeat against opposition below them in the division showcases how unpredictable things can be, which could lead to them sharing the points here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Macarthur in this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
37.94% ( -0.41) | 24.31% ( -0.09) | 37.76% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.66% ( 0.46) | 42.34% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.26% ( 0.46) | 64.75% ( -0.45) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( -0) | 22.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.27% ( -0.01) | 55.73% ( 0.01) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( 0.47) | 22.37% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.13% ( 0.69) | 55.87% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
Macarthur 37.94%
Wellington Phoenix 37.76%
Draw 24.3%
| Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.94% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.76% |
How you voted: Macarthur vs Wellington
Macarthur
29.0%Draw
35.5%Wellington Phoenix
35.5%31
Head to Head
Form Guide
