Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Jan 7, 2023 at 6am UK

Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Sydney FC
0 - 1
Wellington

Retre (53'), Burgess (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zawada (10')
Kraev (34'), Sail (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-2 Sydney FC
Sunday, January 1 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 1-3 Melbourne City
Monday, January 2 at 2am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Sydney FC 2-1 Wellington Phoenix

We think Wellington Phoenix's woes away from home will continue here. Both sides concede plenty, so this has the potential to be a high-scoring affair, but we think Sydney will edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
49.63% ( -0.15)	23.3% ( 0.01)	27.07% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 59.34% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.31% (

0.05)

41.68% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.91% (

0.05)

64.08% (

-0.06)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.04% (

-0.04)

16.96% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.95% (

-0.06)

47.04% (

0.06)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46% (

0.13)

28.54% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.67% (

0.16)

64.32% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 49.63%

Wellington Phoenix 27.07%

Draw 23.29%

Sydney FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 4.09% Total : 49.63%	1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.29%	1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.07%